Is a pick-up a better vehicle than a Lamborghini? Well, it depends on the situation…if you are stuck in the mud, the four wheel drive F-150 will be the best choice. If you are heading to reach maximum speed maybe you should try with a F1 car, if you want security you could buy a Volvo, if you don’t know how to drive you should definitely travel by bus and…and…..OK, OK, enough examples!
What I mean is that an investment vehicle is like any other vehicle, it is a tool that helps to reach a predifined goal at a specified time. So the important things to consider in any endeavor are: having a goal and having knowledge of how to use the resources available to reach that goal.
The great investor Warren Buffett often says “I invest in businesses that I understand”.
The following are the six basic types of investments. I strongly recommend you to learn everything you can about these financial instruments, for it is certain that any investing activity you’ll undertake will be involved with one or more of these types of investing vehicles, directly or indirectly.
1 - MONEY MARKET (very conservative):
2 - BONDS (conservative to aggressive):
For more info on bonds visit http://www.pimco.com/LeftNav/Bond+Basics/2006/Everything+You+Need+to+Know+About+Bonds.htm
3 - STOCKS (moderate to very aggressive):
4 - REAL ESTATE - PROPERTY (conservative):online casino
5 - BUSINESSES AND START-UPS - Private Equity funds, Venture Capital (very aggressive):
6 - COMMODITIES - Precious Metals, Basic Agriculture Products, Basic Mining Products (very aggressive):
When you have learned the characteristics of a financial vehicle you are better prepared for:
In a next post I’ll cover the most common indirect investing vehicles like mutual funds and retirement funds. All of them are based on the basic tools described here.
Every decision we make has its advantages and disadvantages, we never hit it right on the target, but we keep trying to learn how to miss by the least.
So every-time since we wake up in the morning we are faced with lots of choices. Some of those decisions are made mechanically, intuitively, some others need a cost/benefit analysis.
Investments are no different from everyday decisions. When we are taking investment decisions we need to analyze risk and reward. But we often forget about the former, and only concentrate on the later. If you take a look at financial instruments like mutual funds, stocks and bonds you’ll have little trouble finding the expected return those investments offer. But it won’t be as easy if you try to find the risks associated with those investments.
We need to quantify risk as well as we quantify return:
While mutual funds provide precise return numbers, most risk disclosures are still vague at best. For example, most mutual funds convey their proclivity for assuming risk with only generic labels like, “aggressive,” “balanced,” or “moderate”. Risk should be quantified as rigorously as returns. How would you feel if your mutual fund statements reported that your last quarter’s returns as “conservative” or “moderate”, instead of stating the actual return number?
Briefing.com
But the problem with risk is that there isn’t a simple magic number to measure it. Properly assessing risk is more an art than a science, let’s find out why.
Elements of risk
There is a huge list of risks in every activity we do daily, although most of those risks are so familiar to us that we don’t even remember or take care of them (i.e. crossing the street, driving, etc.). But what is risk after all? What is risky for you isn’t necessarily risky for others. So we need to know how to measure risk in a specific way that anybody can interpret without misunderstandings. The two basic facts that define the relevance of any risk are:
For instance, the impact of an airplane crash means almost always death, whereas a bus accident not necessarily ends up in a complete tragedy. But the probability of an airplane crash is almost zero so the overall risk of flying is a lot lower than the risk of driving or travelling by bus.
Volatility and Risk
The standard deviation of the price of an asset (also known as “volatility”) indicates the potential size of losses or profits it can give as an investment. Volatility is usually mentioned as a synonym for risk.
One of the most biggest mistakes in my opinion is the common notion of volatility as a synonym for risk. Investments are categorized as more risky or less risky by their volatility, but as I have said before, volatility indicates the potential size of losses….or profits! Volatility is not necessarily a bad thing, it can be indeed a great factor.
We tend to put more stress on impact than we put on probability, usually because of fear caused by not knowing about the subject. To achieve an acceptable estimate of the probability of an event you must develop knowledge and experience. Then when you are experienced you are willing to take more risks…controlled risks (low probability, higher volatility) to expand your returns without increasing your overall risk.
Risk response strategies
Planned risk responses must be appropriate to the significance of the risk, the plan must address the risks by their priority. These strategies typically deal with threats or risks that may have negative impacts on your objectives, if they occur:
Contingent response strategy: the probability and/or impact of some risks justify the design of a response plan, these plans are used only if certain events occur and these events should be defined and tracked. For example always before you buy a stock you should already have a plan for the entry (entry price), to sell at a profit (profit target) and to sell at a loss (stop loss) if the price goes against you.
Common investing risks and strategies
There are several types of risk you need to analyze, but a top down basic list would be: Global risk, Country risk, Sector/Industry risk, Company risk.
Several known strategies have emerged to treat market risk properly. The more important are:
Summing it all up
I think the worst risk of all is ourselves. Many people believe investing is risky, but when you become more knowledgeable in investing you realize that WE are the ones who are risky! Ignorance and lack of information make us risky.
Usually, people let others decide what to do with their hard earned money. The problem is we almost always seek advice from salespeople, not rich people. Most stockbrokers are not rich nor do they invest in what they sell. There’s a famous quote from Warren Buffett (the most successful investor of our time) that says:
Wall Street is the only place that people ride to in a Rolls Royce to get advice from those who take the subway.
To learn how to make bread you should ask a baker. To learn how to invest successfully you should study the lives of the pros, reading/watching their biographies and getting to know how they make decisions and how they think.
Risks are moving targets, what is not risky today might be risky tomorrow. The best way to treat risks is by learning how to identify and measure them, and by making plans to defend ourselves from those events whether they occur.
We can’t expect to get anywhere if we avoid taking risk. History shows that great accomplishments have always involved taking significant calculated risks in one form or another.
Rather than avoid risk entirely, avoid taking poorly understood risks. Take risk only when the upside justifies the downside. The ability to understand and measure risk will empower you to make better investment decisions.
Nobody protects you anymore. In the past years there has been a lot of cases of underfunded pension plans in the USA, some of them resulted in bankruptcies, some of them were severely reduced. Companies are abandoning corporate-funded pensions in favor of defined-contribution plans such as 401(k)s, in which employees make contributions. The conclusion is you’ll have to take care of yourself because it is likely your company won’t do that for you anymore. The State won’t protect you either: the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp (which insures traditional pension plans) is deeply in the red (23 billion deficit as of 2005) and they are saying “we clearly do not have the ability over the long run to honor all the obligations we’ve taken on”. Maintaining your current lifestyle when you retire will depend solely on your savings and how you invest them.
In Argentina we’re having the same problem, only worse. The amount in commisions we pay to the local pension plans are among the highest in the world. We’re going to talk further about this topic in another post.
To control where your money goes. If you have an illness you do research and consult more than one doctor, if you were in jail maybe you would study law to learn how to handle your case better or to know if your attorney is doing well. And when it turns to the destination you give to your hard earned money, it should be the same.
Time is money, money is time. Start spending some spare time learning finance concepts. All the information you need is on the web, almost always for free! It’s not sky-rocket science, and it is an effort that can change your life completely for good. If you don’t do it for yourself, do it for your kids so you can give them a new world of opportunities. And maybe (as a lot of people like me) you find you’re keen on this topic!
To learn how the world works. It’s a capitalist world. Whether you like it or not we live in a world where the best way to gain full control of our lives is by inventing and maintaining our own cash machine that pays for our lifestyle. Imagine the value of knowing objectively how the country/ industry/company where you work is doing (if it’s doing well or if it’s having problems). And when a recession/crisis comes (they always come once in a while) you will be better prepared to defend yourself, or even have a strategy to take advantage of it.
To put your money to work for you. If you can save $5,000 a year and invest that amount to obtain a 10% rate annually on average during the next 12 years, you will make more than $100,000 by then (provided you reinvest all that money every year). And if you keep doing that for only 5 more years you would have doubled that amount! That is the power of compound interest. So the sooner you start, the better.
To achieve financial independence. Financial independence means not having to work for money anymore. For almost everybody that means being rich. The usual definition for someone who is rich is: “this person has/makes a lot of money”. But as Rich Dad author Robert Kiyosaki says: “It’s not about how much money you can make. It is about how much money you can save, how hard your money works for you and how many years you can live with the income.” So you don’t have to be a millionaire to reach financial freedom, it depends on your lifestyle level and sofistication. We’re going to talk about Kiyosaki’s controversial philosophies in this blog.